NFL Picks Week 12

NFL Picks Week 12

Games being played November 29, 2015

The spreads and over/under’s were taken from the MGM Grand Sportsbook as reported by on November 29, 2015.

The picks below are ones that I am most certain about this week.  Last week, I was working with specific parameters and picking more games than with which I would normally be comfortable.  My accuracy percentage for the week reflected those conditions.  This week should be better.

St. Louis Rams at Cincinnati Bengals
November 29, 2015
Pick: Rams +9

The Bengals have struggled the last couple weeks against teams with good defenses.  I expect that trend to continue this week against the Rams.  Hugh Jackson has a lot of toys to play with, but he appears to be enamored with his options instead of being strategic about how he attacks his opponents.  This, not Andy Dalton’s performance, is the downfall of the Bengals.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts
November 29, 2015
Pick: Buccaneers +2 1/2

I recognize a hot team when I see one.  Indianapolis has down a nice job staying competitive and eking out wins in the absence of Andrew Luck.  That will come to halt this week as they face a team that is on the rise and focused.

Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans
November 29, 2015
Pick: Raiders -1 1/2

The Raiders had a tough loss last week but should be able to bounce back this week.  They’ve had a whole week to get ready to play without their starting center, Rodney Hudson.  They’ll be able to compensate and overcome against the Titans.  I’m pretty down on Mike Mularkey as a head coach and think it was the wrong move for the Titans to promote him to head coach mid-season.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks
November 29, 2015
Pick: Steelers +3 1/2

Seattle has been playing up to last years form the last couple of games and that should continue.  However, the Steelers are a dangerous team and capable of playing well on the road even in a hostile environment such as Seattle.  The Steelers have a decent shot to win this game if they can force a turnover or two.  The fact that they get 3 1/2 points is too tempting to not bet.  Seattle could win but if they do, it’s unlikely it will be more than 3 points.