NFL Picks Week 11

confettiGames being played November 22, 2015

The spreads and over/under’s were taken from on November 19, 2015.

Welp, it’s my birthday this Sunday, and you must know what that means, right?  THE FIRST EVER PICKS BONANZA!!!!  I’ll be traveling to Windsor, Ontario where sports betting is legal.  I don’t have a lot of money so my plan is to place a couple small wagers on a couple 6 game parlay bets.  That way if I hit, it will be worth the trip. 

The sports books there are a little funky.  Single game bets are not allowed.  One must play at least a 2 game parlay.  Also, you can’t mix-and-match spread bets with over/under bets.  So, my plan is to place a 6 game parlay bet on a series of over/unders and a series of spreads for the 1:00 PM games.  I’m limited to the early games due to travel and work or whatever.  Anyway, my picks for the trip are presented below with very brief explanation.  Wish me luck!

Oakland Raiders at Detroit Lions
November 22, 2015
Pick: Raiders -1

I can’t get over how much of a dumpster fire the Lions were earlier this season.  The Raiders are legit even without Aldon Smith.  Their offense will score at least 30 points.  The Lions won’t. 

Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins
November 22, 2015
Pick: Cowboys +1

Romo all day long in this game.  It won’t even be close.  The Dolphins’ offense is fairly bad.  Dallas will be firing on all cylinders reminding people that this team was a Super Bowl contender last year. 

Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons
November 22, 2015
Pick: Falcons -6

The Falcons are coming off a bye week.  They will have used that week to find their early season form.  Indianapolis is starting Matt Hasselbeck and working with an Offensive Coordinator who is new to the job for the Colts.  The ancient quarterback/new coordinator guy combination has never lit the world on fire.  They’ll be clearly out matched in this game.

St. Louis Rams at Baltimore Ravens
November 22, 2015
Pick: Rams +2 1/2

Case Keenum is going to put up big stats in this game.  Believe it.  Baltimore will be held in check by the Rams still formidable defense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles
November 22, 2015
Pick: Buccaneers +6

Mark Sanchez?  Child, please.  Give me the Bucs.

Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers
November 22, 2015
Pick: Carolina -7

Carolina has been killing people all year.  I expect Washington will show up for this game, but Carolina has been so damn consistent.  The trend is too strong.

Oakland Raiders at Detroit Lions
November 22, 2015
Pick: Over 48

Oakland will score over 30 points.  Detroit will get early points and garbage points to get the over.

Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons
November 22, 2015
Pick: Over 47 1/2

Atlanta will score over 30 points.  Same as above.

St. Louis Rams at Baltimore Ravens
November 22, 2015
Pick: Over 41

The Rams will score 25 points and the Ravens will keep it competitive…enough to get the over.

New York Jets at Houston Texans
November 22, 2015
Pick: Under 44 1/2

The Texans will try to win this game with defense.  I expect a low scoring snoozer.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Philadelphia Eagles
November 22, 2015
Pick: Under 45

This game will be a defensive stalemate similar to the game the Bucs played last week against the Cowboys.

Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears
November 22, 2015
Pick: Under 41

I believe John Fox has an axe to grind in this game.  He’ll keep the Manning-less Broncos in check.  The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league.  It will be a game of, “who scores the first touchdown, wins”.


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